Hoping someone here is willing to throw me a bone with a hint at how this prop is priced. This was my idea, and seems more complex than it is worth though I suppose if tracking it regularly and keeping a database it might work out.
Take for example: Jets @ Patriots this week
Longest TD in game over/under 44.5 (Bet365)
o44.5 -125
u44.5 -115
Season data:
Jets 4 of 28 Tds scored were over 44.5 yards (14.29%)
Jets 0 of 28 TDs scored were over 44.5 yards
Patriots 6 of 42 TDs socred were over 44.5 yards (14.29%)
Patriots 1 of 31 Tds allowed were over 44.5 yards...
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